+++4PM Update+++

New storms are firing now along the real cold front and a new Severe T/storm Watch is now in effect for the region through 11PM.

+++++

Well I was probably due for a forecast bust, and we’ve now moved into that territory. As you know I tell you when we do well in a forecast on occasion and I tell you when I more or less blow it. It’s raining, that was expected, some are getting a bunch of rain…that too was expected, some have gotten some hail, that too was expected, but in all honesty all this was expected about 3-6 hours later than it occurred. That’s where the bust is coming from and I’m not happy about it.

It’s no secret that the rainfall yesterday wasn’t exactly the most generous for the region, but things are finally looking up as we finish off the month of April. There are several things that will make the forecast rather tricky for the next couple of days including 1) the progress of a stalled front across the Ozarks area and 2) little disturbances that will create overrunning over that front and enhance the lift (rising motion) of the atmosphere allowing for the potential of some decent to significant rain to come in waves into MON AM, if not longer than that. There is also the matter of an 3) expanding area of heat that will encompass the middle part of the country and how much of that heat makes it to KC.

Yesterday the Weather Channel sent out a tweet asking for names for the big storm that was brewing back east. I submitted “Snowpril”. Not sure if they’re using it (I’m sure I wasn’t alone with that submission) but it’s what I’m going with. Of course this is an effort to name every storm something now, seems silly but at least it got me thinking of something catchy early in the AM on Sunday. “Snowtober”, of course refers tot he powerful late October snows that affecting the New England area especially with devastating results.